Individuals of all ages use probability to make

Individuals of all ages use probability to make decisions in everyday activities. For instance, when
deciding whether to cross a street with traffic, people estimate the odds of making it safely across.
Consider the prevalence of probability in your daily life. How does knowing the likelihood of something
occurring affect how you make daily decisions? Usually, you choose an option because you believe that it
will have a more pleasing outcome than the other choice(s). If you knew your likelihood of succeeding or
failing, you would have an even easier time making a decision. Each decision you make is influenced by
probability. Using what you know about probability might help you make decisions of low importance,
such as purchasing goods, but it can also play a role in making critically important decisions. For
example, scientists often use probability testing to evaluate the safety of drugs for human use and to
help determine the likely outcome of other high-stakes decisions.
For this week’s Discussion, you will have the opportunity to practice your understanding by describing
probability “in real life.” You will select one age group (elementary school students, high school students,
or colleague/significant other) and explain how you would teach probability to that group.
To prepare: Think about examples of how individuals of various ages use probability to make decisions,
and decide which age group you will write about in your discussion response.
Post by Day 3
An explanation of how you would initially teach the concept of probability to one of the age groups,
listed below, in a way they would understand. In other words, describe how you would initially present
and explain the concept in order to create background knowledge and a basic understanding of
probability. Be sure to Include the age group you chose in the Subject of your post.
Elementary school students
High school students
Colleague/significant other
An example of a demonstration you could use to illustrate the concept of probability to the age group
you chose.
An example of how this age group might use probability to make decisions in everyday life.
Think outside the box by avoiding common examples such as coin tosses, decks of cards, and dice. Take
care not to confuse the concepts of probability and relative frequency when writing your post.
Be sure to fully explain your rationale for each of your suggestions, and support your ideas with evidence
from the text and Learning Resources.
Provide an APA reference list. Here is the resources to use: Readings
Heiman, G. (2015). Behavioral sciences STAT (2nd ed.). Stamford, CT: Cengage.
Chapter 5, “Describing Data with z-Scores and the Normal Curve” (pp. 68–84)
Chapter 6, “Using Probability to Make Decisions about Data” (pp. 88–102)
Chapter 7, “Overview of Statistical Hypothesis Testing: The z-Test” (pp. 106–123)
Weekly Data Set: Your instructor will post the data set that you will need for the week’s Assignment to
the Weekly Data Set forum found in the course navigation area of the classroom.
Media
Laureate Education (Producer). (2015d). Introduction to z-score [Video file]. Baltimore, MD: Author. Accessible player
Laureate Education (Producer). (2015k). Probability and introduction to inferential statistics [Video file].
Baltimore, MD: Author. Accessible player
Optional Resources
Rugg, G. (2008). Using statistics: A gentle introduction [E-book]. Retrieved from
http://site.ebrary.com/lib/waldenu/docDetail.action?docID=10229869&p00=statistics
StatSoft. (2015). Electronic statistics textbook. Retrieved from
http://www.statsoft.com/textbook/elementary-statistics-concepts/ If you need to login to my portal it is Username: randa.bailey Password: christine85