Inductive Argumentation - Consider these two causal inductive arguments

Inductive Argumentation

Inductive arguments take specific premises to make general conclusions. A strong inductive argument is most probably the case, and a weak inductive argument is most likely not the case. A causal inductive argument is very similar. It works like this: When X happens then Y happens. X probably causes Y.

Consider these two causal inductive arguments:

1. Every day of my life, the sun has risen in the morning. Tomorrow morning is another day; therefore the sun will probably rise.

2. Every time I flick this switch, the living room light goes on. Therefore this switch probably controls the living room light.

Discussion:

1. Do these arguments seem obvious? Why or why not?

2. Understanding the structure of inductive arguments, how do you rate the strength or weakness of perceived causal relationships within arguments?

Remember to support your answers with logic, examples, and arguments.